Columbia Investor Reality Check
Do not let broad Columbia averages set your ARV.
Columbia investors benefit from university demand, but student-housing cycles and tenant-quality variation make conservative occupancy assumptions more reliable than a steady-state model. A practical scope and realistic hold model outperform optimistic projections.
What investors assume
If the rent math works, the resale assumptions will probably sort themselves out.
What actually matters
Neighborhood stability and tenant durability matter as much as headline value trends.
Where Columbia deals break
Deals in Columbia usually break when the rehab budget and exit assumptions outrun actual tenant or buyer demand.