Abilene Investor Reality Check
Do not let broad Abilene averages set your ARV.
Abilene works for investors who keep expectations proportional to the market. The basis can be attractive, but resale depth is limited enough that scope discipline and rent durability matter more than an optimistic exit story.
What investors assume
If the rent math works, the resale assumptions will probably sort themselves out.
What actually matters
Neighborhood stability and tenant durability matter as much as headline value trends.
Where Abilene deals break
Deals in Abilene usually break when the rehab budget and exit assumptions outrun actual tenant or buyer demand.