Erie Investor Reality Check
Do not let broad Erie averages set your ARV.
Erie investors need realistic expectations about rent depth and market speed. The basis can be attractive, but older systems and a limited buyer pool mean scope discipline and conservative exit assumptions do the real underwriting work.
What investors assume
If the rent math works, the resale assumptions will probably sort themselves out.
What actually matters
System age, hidden scope, and realistic finish expectations matter more than a clean spreadsheet first pass.
Where Erie deals break
Deals in Erie usually break when an older home needs more systems work than the original scope assumed.